In August 2019, WeWork was worth $47 billion. By October, it was worth $8 billion. The IPO was dead, the CEO was out, and 2,400 people were about to lose their jobs.

Forty-two days. That’s how fast $39 billion in paper value disappeared. Not because of a recession. Not because of a pandemic. Because someone filed a document that showed the actual numbers, and the story couldn’t survive the math.

The man who built the story walked away with a package worth up to $1.7 billion. That is absolutely crazy by any standard.

If that doesn’t make you want to audit every number in your own business, and every pitch you’ve ever believed, I don’t know what will.

 

The Business That Was Always Just a Business

Let me start with what WeWork actually was, because this matters.

Adam Neumann and Miguel McKelvey co-founded WeWork in 2010 in New York City. The model was straightforward: lease large commercial office spaces on long-term contracts, renovate them into attractive shared workspaces, then sublease individual desks and offices on short-term, flexible contracts to freelancers, startups, and companies.

Buy long. Sell short. Pocket the spread.

This is real estate arbitrage. It has existed in various forms for decades. IWG (which owns Regus) had been doing essentially the same thing since 1989, with five times as many properties, more revenue, and operations in more countries. IWG was profitable. It was also valued at a fraction of what WeWork commanded.

The difference wasn’t the business model. The difference was the story.

Neumann didn’t pitch WeWork as a real estate company. He pitched it as a technology company. He told investors WeWork would “elevate the world’s consciousness.” He said WeWork would reach a billion members. He talked about building a global community that would replace traditional cities and reshape how humanity lives and works.

The glass-walled offices with craft beer on tap and Monday morning yoga weren’t amenities. They were set pieces in a narrative that had almost nothing to do with the underlying economics.

And for nearly a decade, the narrative was the product.

 

The Check on the iPad

In December 2016, Masayoshi Son, founder of SoftBank and manager of the largest venture fund in history, the $100 billion Vision Fund visited WeWork’s headquarters in New York. He was running late. What was supposed to be a two-hour tour became twelve minutes.

Son invited Neumann to ride with him in his SUV to his next meeting at Trump Tower, 38 blocks north. During the drive, Son pulled out his iPad and sketched the outlines of a $4.4 billion investment. He reportedly told Neumann the problem was that he wasn’t thinking big enough.

By the time the car pulled up, a deal had been scrawled on a digital napkin.

Think about that for a moment. Not the boldness of it, the mechanics. The SoftBank team had done diligence. But the decision to commit billions rested on a twelve-minute walk-through and a car ride with a 6’5″ charismatic founder who could talk about consciousness and community the way most people talk about quarterly targets. I mean business happens that way, don’t get me wrong. It only takes  a few seconds when you meet someone to know whether you click or not (at least on the first instance).

Over the next two years, SoftBank poured approximately $10 billion in equity into WeWork at escalating valuations, first $20 billion, then $47 billion. Total SoftBank exposure including debt would eventually exceed $18.5 billion. The valuations went up not because the business fundamentally changed, but because each new investment round was priced higher than the last. That’s how private markets can work when a single dominant investor is setting the price.

 

What Was Happening Inside

While the valuation climbed, Neumann was operating with almost no accountability. He bought the trademark to the word “We” personally and licensed it back to his own company for $5.9 million. He only returned the money and the trademark rights after the S-1 filing drew scrutiny. Think about that. This is the greed instilled into society over the last decades.

He purchased buildings in his own name and then leased them back to WeWork, making himself both landlord and tenant, collecting rent from the company he ran.

He sold approximately $700 million worth of his own stock before any IPO, locking in personal wealth while outside investors were still holding paper.

The company bought a $60 million Gulfstream G650 private jet. Neumann reportedly brought marijuana on international commercial flights and was escorted off a plane in Israel. His wife Rebekah ran WeGrow, a private school operated inside the company. His brother-in-law ran the wellness division. The S-1 filing would later reveal that Rebekah Neumann had a contractual role in selecting Neumann’s replacement should he die or become incapacitated.

The corporate governance structure gave Neumann supervoting shares, 20 votes per share compared to one for ordinary shareholders, ensuring he could not be overruled on virtually any matter.

None of this was hidden, exactly. But none of it mattered as long as the money kept arriving and the story kept being told.

With this I’m not trying to portray Neumann as a bad person. I’m just reinstating the facts from the sources.

 

The S-1 Changed Everything

On August 14, 2019, WeWork filed its S-1, the disclosure document required for a company to go public. It’s a public filing. Anyone can read it. And for the first time in nine years, the actual financial picture was available to anyone who wanted to look.

What the market saw ended the conversation.

WeWork had lost $1.9 billion in 2018 on $1.8 billion in revenue. They were spending more than two dollars for every dollar they earned. The company had accumulated $47 billion in future lease obligations, long-term commitments to landlords, against roughly $4 billion in committed revenue from members. That’s an exposure ratio that would make any real estate analyst reach for the exit. You don’t need to be a math genius to understand this.

And then there was “Community Adjusted EBITDA.” This is something even I had to dig into a bit. I learned more in depth about EBITDA at university and knew about it beforehand, but this phrasing was interesting.

WeWork had invented its own profitability metric. They took standard EBITDA, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, and then subtracted additional costs like building expenses, marketing, and general administration. Under this custom metric, WeWork could claim to be profitable. Under every standard financial measure, they were hemorrhaging cash.

Wall Street saw all of it. The conflicts of interest. The governance structure. The made-up accounting. The gap between the “technology company” narrative and the reality of a real estate sublease business with negative unit economics.

The valuation started collapsing immediately.

By September 5, the target had dropped to $20-30 billion. Then lower. On September 17, the IPO was withdrawn entirely. On September 24, Neumann was forced out as CEO. By October, SoftBank had written down $9.2 billion and injected another $5 billion just to prevent the company from running out of cash entirely. In November, 2,400 employees, roughly 20% of the global workforce, were laid off. Think about the company culture on this. If you read my post yesterday about Market Basket, you’ll understand. If not give it a read here.

In November 2023, WeWork filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

 

The Real Question Nobody Wanted to Ask

Here’s the part that bothers me the most, and it’s not about Adam Neumann. Neumann was a salesman. An extraordinary one, arguably (considering what he did) one of the best of his generation. But he was doing what salesmen do, telling the most compelling version of the story that people would buy (Wolf of Wallstreet anyone?). The question isn’t why he told the story. The question is why everyone in the room agreed to keep telling it.

J.P. Morgan reportedly suggested WeWork could go public at $60 to $100 billion. They knew the financials. Goldman Sachs knew the financials. Morgan Stanley knew the financials. The board approved the S-1 filing. The auditors signed off. The lawyers wrote the disclosures.

Every single person in that ecosystem had an incentive to keep the story alive.

The bankers wanted underwriting fees. The board members wanted a liquidity event. SoftBank needed WeWork’s valuation to hold up because it affected how the rest of the Vision Fund portfolio was marked. The press wanted access to a charismatic founder who made for great magazine covers. Employees wanted their equity to vest at a number that would change their lives.

Nobody wanted to be the one to say: this is a real estate company that loses money on every square metter it operates, and no amount of “consciousness” language changes that arithmetic.

This is the part I keep coming back to: the fraud, if you want to call it that, wasn’t hidden in the numbers. The numbers were always going to come out in the S-1. That’s what the S-1 is for. The fraud was in the gap between the story and the reality, and in how long a room full of sophisticated people agreed to pretend that gap didn’t exist. That blows me away.

 

What This Actually Teaches

I think there are a few lessons here, and they’re not limited to Silicon Valley or venture capital. They apply to anyone who runs a business, invests in one, or works at one.

Stories are powerful. But stories without numbers are dangerous. Every business needs a narrative. You need to explain why you exist, what you’re building, where you’re going. But the narrative has to be tethered to reality, to revenue, to margins, to unit economics, to the actual mechanics of how value is created. The moment the story decouples from the numbers, you’re building on sand. Maybe expensive, beautifully designed sand. But sand.

The absence of scrutiny is not the same as validation. WeWork operated for nine years in private markets where Neumann could largely control who saw what. The valuation was set by a small number of investors, primarily one in this instance, who had their own reasons to mark it up. The fact that no one challenged the story didn’t mean the story was true. It meant no one had been forced to check.

This applies to your business too. If the only people evaluating your model are people who benefit from it working, you don’t have validation. You have a consensus of convenience. Think about that.

When everyone has a reason to keep the story going, the story keeps going. This is the most uncomfortable lesson. WeWork wasn’t sustained by one person’s delusion. It was sustained by a system of aligned incentives where truth-telling was financially punished and silence was financially rewarded. The banker who said “this is worth $20 billion, not $60 billion” would have lost the engagement. The board member who blocked the IPO would have delayed everyone’s exit. The journalist who ran the skeptical story got less access than the one who ran the profile.

Incentive structures determine information flow. If you want to know where the lies live in any organization, look at who gets rewarded for telling them and who gets punished for questioning them.

Custom metrics are a red flag, not a feature. When a company invents its own profitability measure, Community Adjusted EBITDA, or whatever creative accounting language is in fashion (and I’m old enough to remember Enron and co – albeit cooking books is slightly different, argubly) they’re telling you something important: the standard measures don’t tell the story they want to tell. Sometimes that’s legitimate. Early-stage companies genuinely operate differently. But when a company with $1.8 billion in revenue is still needing to invent metrics to look profitable, the question isn’t whether the metric is creative. It’s whether the business model works.

 

Audit Your Own Story

I’m not writing this to pile on WeWork retrospectively. That’s been done. I’m writing this because the WeWork pattern, the gap between narrative and numbers, is everywhere. It exists in startups and in established companies. It exists in personal finances. It exists in careers.

So here’s the exercise I’d challenge you with.

Sit down and look at whatever you’re building (and I do this consistently with everything), your business, your investment portfolio, your career trajectory and ask yourself three questions:

Where am I saying things I can’t prove? Not aspirations or goals, those are fine. I mean where are you stating something as fact to others (or to yourself) that you haven’t actually verified with real data?

Where am I avoiding the number that would tell the truth? Every business has a metric it doesn’t like to look at. The one that’s always “we’ll get to that next quarter.” That’s the one that matters most.

Where would I be embarrassed if a stranger read the operations doc? This is the S-1 test. If someone with no emotional investment in your success looked at your actual financials, your actual processes, your actual results, not your pitch deck, not your LinkedIn, not your investor update, would the story hold up?

If you’re investing in someone else’s business, the exercise is even simpler: find the question they don’t want you to ask. The bigger the story, the smaller the question they’re avoiding. Find that question. If the answer can’t survive the S-1, the company can’t survive the light of day.

 

The Most Expensive Lie Is the One You Tell Yourself

WeWork raised $12.8 billion in total funding. It built over 800 locations in 35 countries. It had roughly 500,000 members at its peak. It put its logo on glass towers in every major city on earth.

None of it mattered.

The underlying business never made sense on its own terms. It made sense only inside a story, and the story was only as durable as the distance between the narrative and the nearest spreadsheet. What kills companies isn’t usually bad luck. It isn’t usually a single bad decision. It’s the lie that everyone in the room has a reason to keep telling. The fix isn’t complicated. It’s just uncomfortable: look at the number you’ve been avoiding. Say the thing out loud. Close the gap between what you’re saying and what’s actually true.

This is true accountability. I know this is uncomfortable, but I genuinely find it important. We all like to sugar coat this or that. But be brutally honest with yourself. Only that way do we become better people, and can build better societies.

That’s also not just good business. That’s how you build something that survives contact with reality.

Mindset First. Keep thriving.


HK

Father to future trailblazers. Husband to my rock. Athlete who's logged thousands of miles and reps. Entrepreneur behind ventures like NutriPlay and HK ImPulse. Investor spotting the next big wave. Tech maven turning ideas into impact.

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